Hop 7 Bet Craps
The Any Seven bet has to be the simplest bet type one can place at the craps table but is less popular among players for a number of reasons.
Each and every bet on a craps table has a built in house edge. The one exception is the odds bet behind a pass line, come, don't pass, or don't come bet. The house edge for these bets are collected from the base part of the bet. Adding place bets to the hopping 7 bets only adds the edge from those bets to your total loss. The fundamental bet in craps is the pass line bet, which is a bet for the shooter to win. This bet must be at least the table minimum and at most the table maximum. If the come-out roll is 7 or 11, the bet wins. If the come-out roll is 2, 3 or 12, the bet loses (known as 'crapping out'). If the roll is any other value, it establishes a point. MathematicAlly In My simulation I still profit due to the 5X odds only downside I find is throwing craps cause I lose my come bet And the money from the hop. If you guys hop the 7’s regardless of the amount of $ on the table Just to hedge pretty much any bets I’d like to hear from you aswell. A Hop 6 bet would need a different notation, because two non-hardway combinations exist: a 4+2 or 5+1 combination. Thus, you could make a Hop 4+2 or a Hop 5+1 bet. The potential house edge on a “Hard” Hop Bet has a tremendous range, which includes 5.56% for 33:1 payouts, 8.33% for 32:1 payouts, 11.11% for 31:1 payouts, 13.89% for 30:1.
It is considered a higher-risk wager because it is a single-roll bet. What's more, the casino's built-in advantage for Any Seven bets is quite substantial, especially when compared to less hazardous basic bets the likes of Pass/Don't Pass and Come/Don't Come.
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The soaring house edge attached to Any Seven bets can be attributed to the fact seven is the number where most combinations and permutations are possible, making it more likely to get rolled. Nevertheless, some more experienced craps players choose to strategically incorporate the Any Sevens into their bet pattern.
Read on for more detailed information of the Any Seven bet and its odds.
The Any Seven Bet Explained
Any Seven is among the most known bet types in the game of craps. The wager is often announced at the table by its nickname, “The Big Red”.
Any Seven is a one-roll bet and is placed not by players themselves, but by the stickman. The area where the chips for this bet are stacked is located at the center of the table's layout. As the name of the wager itself suggests, players are betting that the very next throw of the dice will result in the number 7 being rolled. No come-out rolls are required when placing Any Seven bets. The latter can be placed at all times.
In other words, the next throw of the dice determines whether players win or lose. It matters not which of the possible combinations adds up to seven, either way, your Any Seven bet will win. However, if any other number apart from seven is rolled, your Any Seven bet will respectively lose.
That's basically all there is to it, however, players are advised to steer clear of Any Seven bets as they have a massive built-in casino advantage to them and might cause bettors to lose money very quickly. More on this in the next section.
Odds for the Any Seven Bet
As was already mentioned, Any Seven bets have a high house edge that works to players' disadvantage, even if they are winning.
Let's proceed by explaining why this is so.
As becomes apparent by the dice combinations chart, seven has the highest number of possible combinations that add up to its total. Since the game of craps is played with two dice, there are six combinations to add up to seven, respectively 1-6, 6-1, 2-5, 2-5, 3-4 and 4-3. There are 36 possible combinations for the numbers from 2 to 12. This indicates the chances of rolling the number seven are 6 out of 36. There are 6 possible ways to win versus 30 different ways to lose. Indeed, the number 7 tends to get rolled most frequently.
Hop 7 Bet Craps Bet
From this, it follows the “true” odds for Any Seven bets dictate these should be paid out at a rate of 5 to 1.
However, the payout for Any Seven bets is listed at the table layout as 5 for 1.
The wording here is of crucial importance as the use of the preposition “for” indicates you will be paid $4 in exchange for a $1 bet instead of $5 per each $1 winning wager as the “true” odds demand. So, it turns out players are actually paid 4 to 1 provided their Any Seven bets win. This will result in you actually losing money in the long run, even if you are winning as Any Seven bets go hand in hand with an impressive house edge amounting to about 16.67%!
This percentage translates into a $16.67 loss for every $100 you spend on Any Seven bets.
Conclusion
Seasoned craps players have come to the conclusion Any Seven is the least profitable bet one can place in this dice game. It boasts the highest built-in advantage for the casino and is to be avoided, especially by craps novices who still have not established a betting pattern that works to their advantage.
Since these are single-roll bets, they are largely considered more suitable for high-rollers who prefer to go for high-risk bets with better payouts. The only advantage of Any Seven bets stems from the fact wagers below the table's minimum are accepted. However, inexperienced players are recommended to stick to the basic bet types like the Pass/Don't Pass and the Come/Don't Come which have a smaller house edge but pay even money.
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Playing a 'Hopping 7Â’s' Progression
By Jerry 'Stickman'
Periodically people ask me about craps betting systems. Almost all of them rely on the premise that certain numbers are due because they havenÂ’t appeared for a while. I normally tell them that in a random you cannot beat the math of the game. The house edge is the house edge. In the long term you will lose the amount of money played times the house edge.
For many that is enough, but every so often someone says they have won a lot of money on a particular system and want me to look further into it. So periodically I will devote an article to exploring some of these systems.
This article will look at a 'Hopping 7Â’s' progression.
Here is the system as it was stated to me.
- Start over with each new shooter.
- Wait seven rolls before starting the progression
- When the bet hits, take the bet down along with the win.
- Start with a $3 bet. Starting with the first bet, the progression is: 3, 3, 6, 9, 15, 24, 39, etc. always adding the previous two bets together to determine the next bet in the progression.
Here is a table that shows the bet, amount invested, win amount (taking the bet down), and profit.
What we have here is a Fibonacci progression. This and the Martingale progression are well known in betting systems. In 'up as you lose' progressions, the thought is that when your number hits you will recoup your losses and garner a little profit. The Fibonacci progression is the less aggressive of the two.
Either of these progressions works as long as two things are true. The first is you must have adequate bankroll to make it through the inevitable losing streaks you will encounter. The amount you require can be very substantial. The last row in the above table represents the 17th roll without a 7. While 17 rolls without a 7 appearing may be somewhat unusual, it is not that uncommon.
If the shooter goes 20 rolls without a 7 appearing, the bankroll required is almost $2,000.
If the shooter rolls just five more numbers without throwing a 7, the total invested is over $20,000.
And what is the shooter is extremely lucky and throws just 5 more numbers without a 7? Our hapless system player will have just over $225,000 invested.
If he should win on the 30th roll, he will win $233,000+, so maybe he thinks it is worth it.
If our lucky shooter goes five more rolls without a 7, however, the investment skyrockets to almost $2.5 million. I donÂ’t know about you, but if I had that kind of money, I wouldnÂ’t risk it on a craps game.
Hop 7 Bet Craps Poker
The second consideration before using this system is something called table maximum. Virtually every craps game has a maximum bet ranging from $2,000 and up. Most of them are $10,000 or less. That means in the unusual but very possible case of someone going 25 rolls without a 7, this player is out his entire investment of over $20,000 and he cannot continue.
The math of the hop bet says that a player will lose 11.11 percent of all money wagered on a random shooter. That is what the math says. LetÂ’s see what some simulations say. I ran several simulations specifying a random shooter through an excellent software program called Smart Craps from DeepNet Technologies.
The first simulation did not put any limits on the maximum bet. It assumed an unlimited bankroll and no maximum bet limit at the craps table. It was very interesting watching the running edge percentage as the simulation progressed. For the first several seconds the expectation was a little over 103%. This means that if someone were playing this system and had the same results as the simulation, they would more than double their bets!
This came to an abrupt halt after about 96,000 rounds. At this point the simulation terminated because it couldn’t handle the size of the bet being placed – over 2.2 billion dollars. It may have taken a while, but the long term hit at about 96,000 player rounds.
Next I put some limits on maximum bet size. I started with 1.1 billion dollars. If the simulation hit the limit, it would restart the progression; that is, wait for seven rolls without a 7, then begin betting the progression. After 10 million rounds, the expectation was 59 percent for the house! During the 10 million rounds the $1.1 billion limit was reached 7 times. This was much worse than what the math would indicate, but with such a large limit, the long term had most likely not yet been reached.
Three more simulations were run with limits of $10,000, $3,000 and $2,000. The results more closely matched the mathematical expectations.
As you can see, all of these fell much closer to the calculated expectations.
So what does this show? You may be lucky and win for a period of time. You may even win for a long period of time. You could also be very unlucky and lose very big for a while. Eventually, however the math will catch up with you.
In the long run, you cannot beat the math of the game with random shooters. You will lose the house edge of your bets times the amount bet. Accept the fact and bet the low house edge bets. Your bankroll will thank you.
May all your wins be swift and large and all your losses slow and tiny.
Jerry 'Stickman' is an expert in craps, blackjack and video poker and advantage slot machine play. He is a regular contributor to top gaming magazines. The 'Stickman' is also a certified instructor for Golden Touch Craps and Golden Touch Blackjack. For more information visit www.goldentouchcraps.com or www.goldentouchblackjack.com or call 1-886-738-3423. You can contact Jerry 'Stickman' at stickmanGTC@aol.com